CourtCruncher is an ATP tennis prediction model and betting system

The model is a sophisticated elo based model built/trained over all ATP and Challenger Tour matches from 2010-2024

Each day the model is used to generate the win probability for each player across all ATP and Challenger Tour matches for the following day which can be found on the Matches page

The betting system is a +EV system where a bet is placed on players with at least a 10% edge in model win probability over the implied probability of their odds

To reduce volatility based drawdown, bets on underdogs at +600 or longer odds are excluded unless meeting stricter edge thresholds listed below

+600-799 odds: 15% edge required

+800-999 odds: 20% edge required

+1000 or greater odds: 25% edge required

Current active bets can be found below and on the Bets page, but users are encouraged to leverage the model's win probabilities to identify edges against their own sportbook's odds